Carmignac Portfolio Emergents: Letter from the Fund Managers

Published on
24 October 2023
+30.9%Outperformance of Carmignac Portfolio Emergents F EUR Acc against its benchmark MSCI EM NR Index over 5 years1.
1stCarmignac Portfolio Emergents is ranked 1st quartile for performance, Sortino ratio, Sharpe ratio and information ratio within its Morningstar category (Global EM Equity) over 1 and 5 years.
100.0%100% of the companies we invest in have a positive, measurable impact through the goods and services they produce (in line with the Sustainable Development Goals)2.

Carmignac Portfolio Emergents1 gained 3.00% in the third quarter of 2023, against a 0.03% rise in its reference indicator3. This brings the fund’s year-to-date return to 7.10%, versus 2.61% for its reference indicator. The third quarter was marked by turmoil in the bond market that pushed US Treasury yields up to levels last seen in 2007. That made the good performance of emerging-market stocks a pleasant surprise, especially when compared to the Bernanke taper tantrum in 2013, when US yields surged and triggered a crisis in all emerging-market asset classes. However, it’s worth bearing in mind that back in 2013, emerging-market currencies and spreads were at historically low levels – which isn’t the case today, after a decade of emerging-market underperformance.

Overview of q3 2023

Our fund’s solid Q3 return can be attributed to our judicious stock-picking in China. Our dedicated Chinese specialists managed to identify an interesting investment opportunity: Miniso, a household and consumer goods retailer. Miniso is a remarkable success story in China’s entrepreneurial landscape. The company started by setting up a low-cost production base with a limited product range. Then, thanks to the efficient management of its entire production chain, the firm was able to expand its product range to include kitchenware, toys, cosmetics, consumer electronics, and more. Miniso has also been effective at expanding internationally; today nearly 40% of its 5,545 stores are outside China. What’s more, the company’s business model meets our investment process requirements. For instance, it’s not capital intensive since the firm neither owns its storefront property nor requires large amounts of working capital. As a result, Miniso has a solid balance sheet with almost $1 billion in net cash & cash equivalents and generates with healthy cash flow – some $250 million so far in 2023.

Owing to our consistently successful stock-picking in China, the country makes up a hefty chunk of our portfolio (35.7% of the fund’s assets at 29 Sept. 2023). That’s despite the grim state of the Chinese economy following the slump in its real-estate sector – and we don’t see the sector improving anytime soon. The volatility caused by China’s various economic and geopolitical crises creates attractive investment opportunities year after year. Going back to Miniso, it’s interesting to note that last year, in the midst of Beijing’s zero-Covid policy, the company’s market cap plunged to a level that was almost equal to its cash on hand, putting a zero value on its – highly lucrative – business model.

Fund Positioning as of september 29th 2023

We made few changes to our overall asset allocation in the third quarter4. Latin America still accounts for 19.3% of our portfolio (vs 8.8% for our reference indicator). We intend to keep shoring up our investments in these countries (buying on the dips) as the region stands to benefit from structural trends like the relocation of production plants to North America and economic tailwinds, such as higher commodities prices. In Mexico, we now have good visibility on the two leading candidates for the 2024 presidential election. The one favoured to win is Claudia Sheinbaum, head of the incumbent Morena party. Her campaign is based on continuing the path set by current president Lopez Obrador, who has been remarkably orthodox in his fiscal and monetary policies. The other leading candidate is Xochitl Galvez, who comes from a centre-right alliance that’s considered pro-free-market. Both contenders are fully aware that the geopolitical tensions between the US and China are throwing up major opportunities for Mexico. We’re exposed to the country through investments in domestic firms which are getting a direct boost from nearshoring by US companies.

The rest of our portfolio remains diversified with significant investments in Asia’s leading high-tech firms operating in artificial intelligence. We have moderate exposure to both India (9.0% of the fund’s assets) and Southeast Asia (4.0%). We’d like to increase our allocation to this region and therefore plan to take part in the IPOs likely to occur over the next 12 months. These flotations will give us an opportunity to invest in growth stocks operating in the region’s new economy.

*Reference indicator: MSCI EM NR (USD) dividends net dividend reinvested
China - including Hong Kong. Excluding derivative positions. Carmignac's portfolios are subject to change at any time. Data are rebased to 100% for Sector & Country positioning.

Source: Carmignac, 29/09/2023.

Socially responsible investment is central to our approach

Since its inception in 1997, Carmignac Emergents has combined what we consider our emerging-market DNA since 1989 with our commitment to strengthening our credentials in socially responsible investment (SRI). In welding together those two areas of expertise, we aim to add value for our investors while having a positive impact on society and the environment.

Classified as an Article 9 fund under the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR)5 and was awarded France’s SRI label in 2019 and Belgium’s Towards Sustainability label in 20206.

As an Article 9 Strategy under the SFDR, the Fund will invest in shares of emerging companies that have a positive outcome on environment or society and derive at least 50% of their revenues or 30% CAPEX from goods and services related to business activities which align positively with UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) . This sustainable objective will be measured and monitored by the percentage of revenues aligned with the SDGs.

Our portfolio is currently structured around 4 major SRI themes that are central to our process:

Source: Carmignac, MSCI ESG Research, FactSet, 29/09/2023. To produce this chart, we map portfolio companies whose revenues are at least 50% aligned with one of the nine selected UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Company revenue data is provided by Factset. These results are provided for illustrative purposes and are not a guarantee of future results. For more information, please see For more details: https://sdgs.un.org/goals

As a reminder, our socially responsibility approach is based on three pillars:

  • Invest selectively and with conviction, giving priority to sustainable growth themes in underpenetrated sectors and countries with sound macroeconomic fundamentals.
  • Invest for positive impact, favouring companies that deliver solutions to environmental and social challenges in emerging markets and reducing our carbon intensity by at least 50% relative to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Our sustainable objective is: >80% Fund’s AUM invested in companies with >50% revenue or CAPEX derived from goods and services positively aligned with at least 1 of 9 targeted United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.
  • Invest sustainably by consistently incorporating environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria into our analyses and investment decision.
1Cumulative performance. Carmignac Portfolio Emergents F EUR Acc (ISIN: LU0992626480). *KID (Key Information Document) risk scale. Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Returns may rise or fall as a result of currency fluctuations. Performance figures are net of fees (excluding distributor entry fees). Performance in euros at 30/09/2023.
2Sources : Carmignac, FactSet, Alignement to UN SDGs as of 30/09/2023.
4START's proprietary ESG system combines and aggregates ESG indicators from the market's leading data providers. Due to a lack of standardization and insufficient reporting of certain ESG indicators by listed companies, it is not possible to take into consideration all relevant indicators. START provides a centralized system through which Carmignac delivers its analyses and insights on each company examined, even if the aggregated external data is incomplete. For further information, please visit our website.
5Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088: regulation on sustainability disclosure in the financial services sector. For more information, please visit [EUR-lex](https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj "EUR-lex").
6Carmignac Portfolio Emergents has been awarded the French and Belgian SRI labels. https://www.lelabelisr.fr/en/ ; https://www.towardssustainability.be/ ; https://www.febelfin.be/fr.

Carmignac Portfolio Emergents

Grasping the most promising opportunities within the emerging universeDiscover the fund page

Carmignac Portfolio Emergents F EUR Acc

ISIN: LU0992626480
Recommended minimum investment horizon
5 years
Risk indicator*
4/7
SFDR - Fund Classification**
Article 9

*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.

Main risks of the fund

Equity: The Fund may be affected by stock price variations, the scale of which is dependent on external factors, stock trading volumes or market capitalization.Emerging Markets: Operating conditions and supervision in "emerging" markets may deviate from the standards prevailing on the large international exchanges and have an impact on prices of listed instruments in which the Fund may invest.Currency: Currency risk is linked to exposure to a currency other than the Fund’s valuation currency, either through direct investment or the use of forward financial instruments.Discretionary Management: Anticipations of financial market changes made by the Management Company have a direct effect on the Fund's performance, which depends on the stocks selected.
The Fund presents a risk of loss of capital.

Fees

ISIN: LU0992626480
Entry costs
We do not charge an entry fee. 
Exit costs
We do not charge an exit fee for this product.
Management fees and other administrative or operating costs
1,32% of the value of your investment per year. This estimate is based on actual costs over the past year.
Performance fees
20,00% when the share class overperforms the Reference indicator during the performance period. It will be payable also in case the share class has overperformed the reference indicator but had a negative performance. Underperformance is clawed back for 5 years. The actual amount will vary depending on how well your investment performs. The aggregated cost estimation above includes the average over the last 5 years, or since the product creation if it is less than 5 years.
Transaction Cost
0,37% of the value of your investment per year. This is an estimate of the costs incurred when we buy and sell the investments underlying the product. The actual amount varies depending on the quantity we buy and sell.

Annualised Performance

ISIN: LU0992626480
Carmignac Portfolio Emergents6.43.91.719.8-18.225.544.9-10.3-14.39.8
Reference Indicator11.4-5.214.520.6-10.320.68.54.9-14.96.1
Carmignac Portfolio Emergents- 4.9 %+ 8.3 %+ 5.4 %
Reference Indicator- 1.5 %+ 4.8 %+ 5.2 %

Source: Carmignac at 14 Jun 2024.
​Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).

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